Thursday, 19 Dec 2024

Divided EU seeks to agree huge coronavirus stimulus as economies face 'steep decline'

BRUSSELS (REUTERS) – European Union leaders began the process of approving an unprecedented stimulus package for their coronavirus-ravaged economies on Friday (June 19), aware of the need to deliver help quickly, but still divided over its final size and terms.

The 27 national heads started a video conference at 4pm Singapore time to discuss recovery for the bloc that has lost over 100,000 lives to Covid-19 and faces an unprecedented economic downturn threatening its stability and global standing.

“It’s a crisis without precedent that has had an enormous impact – economic, social and also on the viability of the EU,” said a senior EU diplomat.

“To show that Europe protects, we cannot take any longer on this, as delays will only make things more difficult and more expensive.”

Under discussion is the EU’s next budget of around 1.1 trillion euros (S$1.72 trillion) for 2021-27, and an attached recovery fund of a proposed 750 billion euros borrowed by the EU Commission.

“Together … this is a huge stimulus of 1,850 billion euros. It does not only help the economies of the countries which were hit hardest by the virus. It also helps the countries whose economies have been hit hard indirectly because of the lockdowns,” Commission head Ursula von der Leyen said.

European Central Bank head, Christine Lagarde, told European Union leaders on Friday that their economy was in a “dramatic fall” and called on the bloc to act to spearhead revival, diplomatic sources and officials said.

“(The) EU economy is experiencing a dramatic fall,” Lagarde told the leaders during via a video conference, according to the sources.

She said the euro zone economy was headed for a “sharp decline” of some 13 per cent in the second quarter and reiterated the bank’s forecasts for a GDP drop of 8.7 per cent in 2020 and a rebound of 5.2 per cent in 2021.

She said the full effects of the EU’s worst economic downturn have not yet manifested themselves fully on the labour market and that the euro zone’s unemployment rate could hit 10 per cent. She called on the leaders to agree on their recovery plan swiftly to spearhead economic revival and said financial markets were relatively calm due to expectations that the bloc would act to show that “the EU is back” in action, the sources said.

The aid is to be disbursed mainly among worst-hit nations, like Italy and Spain, but many differences must still be settled before the necessary unanimous agreement. Officials and diplomats expect a deal could come in July.

“We have a collective responsibility to deliver,” the leaders’ chairman Charles Michel said.

While the already highly indebted south is calling for grants without too many conditions, the more thrifty north wants only conditional loans.

“Conditionality is a big issue. An agreement on reforms could create room for manoeuvre on grants,” one diplomat said.

Sweden, Denmark, Austria and the Netherlands, the so-called “frugal four”, also believe the proposed recovery fund is too big and allocation of the money is not sufficiently linked to the pandemic.

Eastern EU countries say too much money will go to the south and want to maintain an earlier spending focus on agriculture and closing development gaps with the richer west.

Wealthy net payers to EU coffers, including the frugal four and Germany, want to retain past rebates on their contributions that others want scrapped and there is no agreement on how to eventually repay the Commission borrowing.

Officials expect EU leaders will need at least one or two more meetings in person next month to reach a final deal, which would also mark a step towards more integration in the bloc after the damaging setback of Brexit.

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