Sunday, 17 Nov 2024

Eurozone panic: Brexit, Boris and Trump cause chaos for EU growth

The gross domestic product (GDP) for the eurozone has chugged along at just 0.2 percent compared to the previous quarter, German publication Finanz and Wirtschaft reports. In the second quarter of the new year, the eurozone economy’s growth was stunted due to weaker global activity put down to trade disputes with US President Donald Trump. Brexit uncertainty after top eurocrats refused to budge on the Irish backstop with former Prime Minister Theresa May was also to blame.

The Berlin DIW Institute expects “little more than stagnation” after Germany and France both grew by 0.2 percent despite being the largest economies in the EU.

There are concerns that a hard Brexit could spark an economic crisis throughout the eurozone.

Nicola Nobile, lead eurozone economist at consultancy Oxford Economics, said: “The eurozone data today confirm that the economy has moved down a gear as worsening external conditions and the increase in uncertainty continue to take their toll.

“Looking forward, the continued weakness in eurozone surveys suggest that a robust pick-up in GDP growth in H2 2019 is not on the cards.”

Spain did better at 0.5 percent, statistic office Eurostat announced today.

Meanwhile Britain’s was recorded at 0.3 percent.

It was expected the eurozone would record a 0.4 percent growth as it did the previous quarter.

As a result of the economic slowdown, the European Central Bank (ECB) has signalled further easing of its monetary policy.

ECB chief Mario Draghi said several options are in the process of being considered.

These include the resumption of bond purchases to higher penalties for borrowers.

Mr Draghi said last week that the economic outlook was becoming “worse and worse”.

Eurostar cited trade conflicts and Brexit as reasons behind the slump in growth across the board.

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The European Commission said as result of threats from both Boris Johnson over a no deal Brexit and President Trump over tariffs linked to a trade spat with the bloc, Brussels is only expecting economic growth of 1.2 percent for the year as a whole.

The Commission predicts this should increase to 1.5 percent in 2020.

Despite this, Europe’s unemployment rate has fallen to its lowest level in 11 years.

Less than 12.4 million Europeans are unemployed, 45,000 less than in the previous month.

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The current population of Europe, including the UK, is around 741 million.

Earlier today, Ireland’s central bank warned that economic growth in the eurozone member with the closest ties to Britain would slow sharply to 0.7 percent next year in the event of a no-deal Brexit.

This is compared with 4.1 percent if the UK left on agreed terms.

The report from the Central Bank of Ireland warned that a no deal departure would cost Ireland 34,000 jobs by next year and 110,000 fewer jobs over the next ten years.

Irish exports would also be devastated by a forecast weakening in the UK economy.

Additional reporting by Monika Palenberg.

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