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Tier 3 is the highest possible level of lockdown in the UK right now, according to the Government’s new system. Ministers have resolved to introduce local mitigation against COVID-19 rather than a nationwide “circuit breaker”, heaping variable measures on top of national restrictions in some areas. As such, regions currently in Tier 2 or lower have barely tempered the virus, and may soon have to enter the highest restrictions.

Which areas could next enter Tier 3?

As the highest level of the Government’s tier system, ministers have reserved Tier 3 for the worst affected UK regions.

The threshold includes overall infection rates, case rates amongst the elderly and the proportion of positive tests.

Several other regions in the north – which has suffered disproportionately from COVID-19 – have seen these variables creep up, and as such risk entering the enhanced lockdown.

Tees Valley

Tees Valley residents entered Tier 2 lockdown relatively recently, but case growth has not yet completely levelled.

Officials recorded a slight increase of just under 40 from 278.4 to 314.1 cases per 100,000 in the last week, and the Government has not yet committed to introducing a Tier 3 measures.

Local council leader Mary Lanigan welcomed the Government’s decision, but added: “We need more time to show that these restrictions are working.”

West Yorkshire

Hot on the heels of South Yorkshire – which will enter Tier 3 this Saturday – West Yorkshire could soon enter Tier 3 restrictions.

Residents are already living under Tier 2, and cases have shown no sign of slowing just yet.

But much like Tees Valley, the rates have shown limited growth from 317.3 to 332.5 people per 100,000 in the last week.

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Northeast England

A collection of areas in Northeast England risk entering Tier 3 soon.

Several areas such as Durham, Northumberland and Tyne and Wear have already had to survive on Tier 2 measures, which limit social contact both in public and at home.

But the case rate may stay Westminster’s hand, as officials have managed to cut the rate down from 316.6 to 276.1 per 100,000 people in the last week.

Nottinghamshire

Nottinghamshire is another “high risk” tier 2 region which has seen well over 100 cases per 100,000 people for weeks now.

Their current estimated rate stands at roughly 374.7 cases per 100,000.

But much like the northeast, authorities have chipped away at this figure, now down from 436.4 earlier this month.

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