Polling guru reveals Boris’s secret Brexit strategy – and Swinson’s key role in the plan
Polling expert and political scientist John Curtice explained Boris Johnson’s Brexit strategy focusses on swaying voters from the Brexit Party and capitalising on a split Remainer vote. During an interview with Express.co.uk, Mr Curtice explained by taking votes away from the Labour Party, Jo Swinson is handing Boris Johnson a Brexit gift. With the Remain vote split, this could result in the Tory Party winning more seats which would better allow him to pass a Brexit deal through Parliament.
Mr Curtice said: “Boris Johnson’s strategy is very straight forward.
“It is to try and unite the Leave vote behind the Conservative Party.
“And to hope or assume the Remain vote remains divided between the Labour Party and the Liberal Democrats.
“One of the ironies of the current situation is that Boris Johnson thinks it possible he might be able to win an overall majority even though his party in the polls is lower than the share of the vote that has ever been won by a party that has won an overall majority.
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“The fact that he can contemplate that rests on the fact that the Liberal Democrats have managed to split the Remain vote.
“So Jo Swinson is providing Boris Johnson with a potential opportunity.
“But it does, therefore, rest on his ability to squeeze the Brexit Party vote.
“Boris Johnson had a measure of success on that during the backend of July when he became Prime Minister.
“The Brexit Party vote fell such that therefore the Tories have been enjoying something like a six or seven-point lead over Labour in the polls.
“The difficulty however is what we do know is that, certainly if voters are true to their word is that if we end up in a situation where we have not left by the 31st of October then a number of voters who have switched from the Brexit Party to the Conservative say they would switch back again.
“Hypothetically at least, the Conservatives could find themselves backed down to 25 percent in the polls or even lower.
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“We would then be heading for a substantially hung Parliament.”
Brexit Party leader Nigel Farage revealed on his LBC show that he did not believe Boris Johnson would stick to his promise and deliver Brexit by October 31.
Mr Farage has long voiced his caution with Boris Johnson and on Tuesday insisted that he believes the EU will find a way to prevent a no-deal Brexit, an extension and a deal being agreed.
He said this was out of a desire to force the UK to have a second referendum in hopes that we would choose to Remain.
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