Tuesday, 26 Nov 2024

Brexit BOOST: Expert predicts Theresa May’s successor will be a HARDLINE Brexiteer

Peter Schaffrik, global macro strategist at RBC Capital Markets, made the assertion to Bloomberg – and it will likely comes as welcome news to Brexiteers. He explained: “It’s clear that whoever is going to be next Prime Minister is from a camp that is much more enthusiastic about Brexit than what we had before. I would broadly categorise the candidates into dealers and no dealers.

“And I think this is where the battle line will be drawn.

“My sense is that in the early phase we will get a sense that the dealer guys will do much better.

“But as we wiggle down, particularly as we go towards the moment when it goes to the party in the second phase, then I think the tone will be shriller.

“Because at the end of the day we know that the party base, by and large, is much more in favour of a harder Brexit.”

Boris Johnson is currently the favourite of the 11 competing candidates

The news comes as another expert also warned the Brexit Party’s success in the Peterborough by-election may shock the next Conservative Party leader into pursuing a hard Brexit to avoid Nigel Farage’s party overtaking them in popularity.

Thursday’s by-election saw Labour’s Lisa Forbes narrowly secure victory with just 683 votes more than the Brexit Party’s Mike Greene.

The Conservative Party support was decimated, with Paul Bristow losing a 25 percent share of votes compared to the 2017 snap election.

David Hearne, a researcher for the Centre for Brexit Studies at Birmingham City University, believes the growing popularity of the Brexit Party in Peterborough will place more pressure on the Conservatives to “defeat” the threat of Mr Farage.

They are currently holding on to power by a thread following Theresa May’s disastrous withdrawal negotiations with the EU.

Mr Hearne told Express.co.uk: “Peterborough is significantly more pro-Brexit than the UK average, and the by-election was always likely to be fertile ground for Farage, particularly given lower turnout.

“A Brexit Party surge will boost the leadership chances of Boris Johnson, who will argue that he is best placed to defeat Farage.

“I don’t think it makes Brexit more likely though as Parliament remains opposed to leaving with no deal.”

Source: Read Full Article

Related Posts