Italy chaos to spark EU panic as Salvini primed for PM spot with Draghi’s presidency bid
Italy 'will be friends with UK no matter what' says MEP
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The Italian parliament will convene on January 24 to begin voting for a new head of state to replace the outgoing Sergio Mattarella, the chief of the lower house of parliament ruled on Tuesday.
The election of a new president of the republic may have major repercussions for the future of Prime Minister Mario Draghi’s government, which is trying to contain a wave of COVID-19 infections.
Mr Draghi has made clear he would like to become president, bringing to an end his 11-month-old government and leaving the country with the choice of either installing a new premier or holding elections a year ahead of schedule.
An early election could mean big trouble for Brussels as recent polls have put right-wing candidates Matteo Salvini (Lega) and Giorgia Meloni (Brothers of Italy) in leading positions.
The two eurosceptic leaders have been contending first place in polls with the centre-left Democratic Party (PD), but the numbers have been close.
A number of surveys in November showed Ms Meloni leading the polls with up to 21.2 percent of the votes against 20.3 percent for the Democratic Party and 19.2 percent for Mr Salvini.
A poll by Termometro Politico run between December 21 and December 23, saw Ms Meloni polling at 21.3 percent against 19.2 and 20 percent respectively for Lega and the PD.
Ms Meloni has always been very critical towards the EU.
During an interview in 2018, she praised sovereignty as “the defence of family, borders, the nation state, and identity”.
Like Matteo Salvini, she is also a fierce supporter of Hungarian prime minister Viktor Orbán.
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If either of the two party leaders were to become Italy’s next prime minister, an alliance of right-wing eurosceptics in the bloc would be fortified.
However, there is no guarantee Mr Draghi will get the presidential job.
The first choice of Italy’s centre-right parties (including Lega and Brothers of Italy) is the 85-year-old four-time prime minister Silvio Berlusconi.
Other figures considered to be contenders are former lower house speaker Pier Ferdinando Casini, former Prime Minister Giuliano Amato and the current Justice Minister Marta Cartabia.
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The president, elected for a seven-year term, normally has a largely ceremonial role, but enjoys extensive powers following elections or when a government falls. He has the final say in nominating the prime minister and other cabinet members.
The election, conducted by secret ballot among more than 1,000 parliamentarians and regional representatives, is an unpredictable process often taking several days.
There are no official candidates, and each parliamentarian writes the name of their choice on a piece of paper. This can produce extravagant proposals of sports stars, actors or other public figures.
Party chiefs usually try to negotiate a mutually acceptable candidate but the secret ballot means their instructions are not always followed by rank-and-file lawmakers.
In the first three rounds of voting, a two-thirds majority is required to elect a president.
From the fourth vote on, the threshold is lowered to an absolute majority, meaning more than half of those who cast a ballot.
The parliamentarians vote one after the other and each round of voting normally takes more than four hours.
Since the current system was introduced, only two of Italy’s 12 presidents have been elected in the first three rounds of voting.
The most drawn-out election was that of Giovanni Leone in 1971, which required 23 rounds.
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