Sunday, 6 Oct 2024

Election 2019: Why Boris shouldn’t be worried about Brexit Party – but Corbyn should panic

Boris Johnson faces a showdown in Parliament showdown today after warning an election could be held if MPs support a bill blocking a no deal Brexit. As it currently stands, the Prime Minister is leading a majority of one in Parliament. Despite this, the PM has recently threatened to deselect MPs from the Conservative Party if they vote against the government in the Commons this week. So if another general election is called, could Boris swing a parliamentary majority?

According to recent poll data, Boris Johnson could succeed in a General Election – and he’s miles ahead of Jeremy Corbyn.

Deltapoll surveyed 2,028 respondents online between 29th and 31st August 2019 for the Mail on Sunday.

The poll results shows the Conservatives with an 11-point lead over Labour, with 35 percent of respondents indicating they intended to vote for the Tories in the next election.

In the case of another election, 24 percent of respondents said they would vote for for Labour.

But perhaps most worryingly for Jeremy Corbyn, a whopping 18 percent of respondents said they would vote for the Liberal Democrats.

The Lib Dems can be said to be making a resurgence, coming back into the fore with a new party leader, Jo Swinson, and winning 20.3 percent of the vote in the 2019 European elections.

Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party once appeared to be a credible threat to the Conservatives, after taking the lead in the European elections with 31.6 percent of the vote.

But if this recent poll is anything to go by, only 14 percent of respondents indicated an intention to vote for the Brexit Party in the case of a general election, suggesting the party could be less of a worry to the Conservatives than previously thought.

The poll also asked respondents how they felt party leaders were performing in their roles.

48 percent believed Mr Johnson was performing “well” in his job, with 42 percent saying he was performing “badly”.

In stark contrast with Mr Corbyn, only 23 percent believed the Labour leader was performing “well”, with 68 percent stating he is performing “badly”.

53 percent of those surveyed would support another General Election being held within the next few months.

And if another General Election were to be held, 17 percent believe it would be sweeping majority for the Conservatives, with only 7 percent agreeing it would be an outright majority for Labour.

The most popular response, that the Conservatives will be the biggest party in a hung parliament, was approved by 30 percent of respondents.

Legislation crafted by cross-party MPs is due to be put forward today to block a no deal Brexit.

If the legislation is passed, Boris Johnson will have to ask the EU for an extension to the Brexit process until January 31 2020.

If passed, the legislation can be said to tip the balance of decision-making powers from the Cabinet to the Commons.

Source: Read Full Article

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