Boris Johnson polls: Why Southend West by-election result is ‘really bad’ for Tories
Boris Johnson ‘is out of control’ says Tice
We use your sign-up to provide content in ways you’ve consented to and to improve our understanding of you. This may include adverts from us and 3rd parties based on our understanding. You can unsubscribe at any time. More info
The late Sir David Amess’s murder in October 2021 triggered an immediate outpouring of emotion in Parliament, with every mainstream political party declining to stand in the seat. Instead stood a host of fringe groups, among them, Southend’s Psychedelic Movement and several far-right parties, all of which failed to gain the five percent needed to retain their deposits. Although the results added a new MP to the Conservative ranks, the race did not bode well for Boris Johnson, who is still mired in fallout from the “partygate” crisis and Jimmy Savile slur towards Sir Keir Starmer.
Tories found their victory yesterday dampened by an increasingly precarious polling position.
Chris Curtis, the head of political polls at Opinium, said the party faces a “really bad situation”.
Speaking to the BBC, he said the “latest allegations” of Downing Street parties have cut into what was previously a consistent polling lead.
He added that “half of those” who voted Conservatives in 2019 aren’t confident they would do so again.
The by-election saw a dwindling turnout as the other parties stood back.
Only 24 percent of the local electorate, 15,942 people, voted for the nine candidates on the ballot.
Although it was similar to the 2016 Batley and Spen by-election, where other parties stood down following Jo Cox’s murder, causing a turnout of 25.8 percent, campaigners feared partygate lowered it further.
One “veteran activist” told The Times they experienced a “wall of disapproval” they had not seen in 25 years.
Today, pollsters Redfield and Wilton Strategies reported the highest recent lead for Labour.
They are leading the Tories for “trust” across several categories, such as supporting the NHS, responding to Covid, and managing foreign affairs.
Sir Keir’s party had backing from 43 percent of 2,000 respondents as of January 31, 2022, who believed they could best trust the party to handle NHS administration.
The same percentage of people thought the party best placed to tackle the UK’s poverty.
In both of those categories, Conservatives had fewer than half of their polling lead, with 21 percent and 19 percent, respectively.
The lead was sustained across the board, unrivalled in every scenario but one.
The party even led in immigration, where 32 percent said they would trust their immigration policy.
The Conservatives – who have taken an increasingly hardline approach on the subject under Priti Patel – scored just 24 percent of public trust.
The closest the two parties came was on trust for handling foreign affairs.
Approximately 31 percent of the 2,000 people said they favoured Labour in the area, compared to 28 percent who preferred Conservatives.
But when it came to protecting the environment, neither party scored a majority.
The Greens had the most trust in this area, capturing 30 percent of respondents.
Labour was still ahead of the Conservatives, however, with 25 percent to 17.
The figures show a general distrust of the net-zero plans Mr Johnson set out during the COP26 conference in late 2021.
The declining favour from the electorate comes as the Government battles a snowballing cost of living crisis and growing slate of resignations.
Since yesterday, five of his senior team members – longtime aide Munira Mirza among them – have departed from Downing Street ranks.
Source: Read Full Article