What does failure of Trump-Kim summit mean for key players in nuclear stand-off?
HANOI (REUTERS) – US President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un failed to reach a deal on denuclearisation on Thursday (Feb 28) because Mr Kim had made unacceptable demands on lifting US-led sanctions, Mr Trump said.
The United Nations and the United States ratcheted up sanctions on North Korea when it undertook a series of nuclear and ballistic missile tests in 2017. North Korea has been pursuing its weapons programmes for years, in defiance of UN Security Council resolutions.
What does the failure to reach a deal in Hanoi mean for North Korea’s neighbours and others trying to end the stand-off?
THE UNITED STATES
A setback for Mr Trump, a self-styled dealmaker under pressure at home over his ties to Russia and testimony from Michael Cohen, his former personal lawyer who accused him of breaking the law while in office.
But no deal is better than a bad deal. Mr Trump’s domestic critics and security hawks like National Security Adviser John Bolton had been wary of a half-baked deal and called for full, verified North Korean denuclearisation first. And Boeing Co bagged a US$15 billion deal from Vietnam, with carriers VietJet and Bamboo Airways ordering 110 planes from the US aerospace giant.
NORTH KOREA
Mr Kim failed to win sanctions relief after shifting his focus last year to building a “self-sufficient” economy, abandoning the parallel pursuit of nuclear and economic development, for which he had to work hard to persuade some military hardliners, according to defectors and observers.
North Korea had long promoted its nuclear arsenal as key to its survival and avoiding a US invasion. Now Mr Kim is saying his top priority is boosting the economy, but without sanctions relief there is not much he can do.
SOUTH KOREA
A blow for President Moon Jae-in, who is keen to see the lifting of sanctions that have hampered his ambitions to reopen an inter-Korean factory park and tourism zone. Mr Moon wants to build an inter-Korean economic community, under a multi-billion-dollar initiative dubbed “New Korean Peninsula Economic Map”, which he said could be a new growth driver amid a moribund economy and the worst job market in a decade.
A nuclear deal could have included a peace treaty that would have formally ended the 1950-53 Korean War and prompted the North to demand a withdrawal of some 28,500 US troops from the South. Mr Trump said last week that drawing down US troops was not on the table.
JAPAN
Japan fears an eventual deal could mean US security concessions to North Korea, which has test-fired missiles over Japanese territory and threatened Japan’s destruction.
Tokyo maintains there should be no easing of sanctions until North Korea takes concrete, irreversible and verifiable steps to abandon nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles that could reach its soil.
Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has stuck close to Mr Trump in his dealings with North Korea, in part to ensure the emotive matter of abductees is not forgotten or left out of any agreement. In 2002, North Korea admitted it had kidnapped 13 Japanese in the 1970s and 1980s to train as spies. Five of them returned to Japan but Tokyo suspects that hundreds more may have been taken.
Mr Abe said he “fully supported” Mr Trump’s decision against a deal.
CHINA
China is North Korea’s sole major ally and hosted years of on-again-off-again “six-party talks” aimed at reining in North Korea’s nuclear weapons programme. It has urged the United States to relieve sanctions to expedite denuclearisation.
The failure to produce a deal will underscore the perception of Mr Trump’s unpredictability as a negotiator after he cancelled what Beijing had thought was a deal last year to resolve their trade dispute, both countries now being in the final stages of reaching an agreement.
China, which views North Korea as a useful buffer to keep US forces in South Korea and Japan in check, would be adamant that any deal between Mr Kim and Mr Trump does not negatively affect its own security.
VIETNAM
As host of the summit, Vietnam had sought to relish its role as a promoter of peace, having emerged as a responsible member of the international community that has forged peace with old enemies.
Mr Kim begins a two-day official friendship visit on Friday.
“This is not the end, as we all know that this issue is complicated can’t be dealt with in a short period of time,” said Mr Pham Tien Van, a former Vietnamese ambassador to South Korea who also served in North Korea.
After the summit ended, the Vietnamese Communist Party’s propaganda department sent a message to local reporters, urging them not to criticise Mr Trump or Mr Kim.
“Do not put out titles with ‘Hanoi failure’, do not blame either side and do not use any negative comments that could affect the two leaders,” the message read.
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