Monday, 24 Jun 2024

Consistent Signs of Erosion in Black and Hispanic Support for Biden

It’s a weakness that could manifest itself as low Democratic turnout even if Trump and Republicans don’t gain among those groups.

By Nate Cohn

President Biden is underperforming among nonwhite voters in New York Times/Siena College national polls over the last year, helping to keep the race close in a hypothetical rematch against Donald J. Trump.

On average, Mr. Biden leads Mr. Trump by just 53 percent to 28 percent among registered nonwhite voters in a compilation of Times/Siena polls from 2022 and 2023, which includes over 1,500 nonwhite respondents.

The results represent a marked deterioration in Mr. Biden’s support compared with 2020, when he won more than 70 percent of nonwhite voters. If he’s unable to revitalize this support by next November, it will continue a decade-long trend of declining Democratic strength among voters considered to be the foundation of the party.

Democratic share of major party vote among nonwhite voters

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