May's Brexit deal now less likely, election more likely – JP Morgan
LONDON, March 21 (Reuters) – JP Morgan said it no longer thought the single most likely outcome for Brexit would be Prime Minister Theresa May getting approval in parliament for her deal in the first half of 2019, and a new national election was now more likely.
In a note to clients, analyst Malcolm Barr gave May’s deal passing parliament a 20 percent probability, down from 35 percent previously.
The most likely outcome listed by Barr, with a 30 percent probability, was Britain holding a national election with a likely extension of the Article 50 European Union exit process into the second half of this year. (Writing by William Schomberg. Editing by Andrew MacAskill)
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