Sunday, 13 Jun 2021

What tier will I be in after lockdown? How 3 tier changes will affect YOU from December 2

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Boris Johnson is expected to unveil his Covid Winter Plan, which will set out the next phase of the Government’s coronavirus response. The Prime Minister is due to announce the latest coronavirus rules in Parliament tomorrow, including a return to the localised three tier restrictions that were in place before the current lockdown came into force.

Communities Secretary Robert Jenrick said ministers want to see a “significant easing” of coronavirus controls when the lockdown in England is lifted on December 2.

But he also suggested tighter controls may be needed in the top Tier 3.

The PM, who is still self-isolating in Downing Street, will virtually chair a meeting of his Cabinet to discuss the proposals. Then the plan will be outline in Parliament tomrrow.

It is thought Mr Johnson will announce an extension of the 10pm curfew to 11pm, giving people an hour to enjoy their food and drink after last orders have been called.

So which tier will you be in? has conducted an analysis of the latest coronavirus data to find the areas where the infection rate is still rising.

What tier will I be in after lockdown?

As yet, the new tiers have not been announced – neither the tougher restrictions nor the areas being put under each tier have been revealed by the Government so far.

Ministers are expected to announce which areas will fall under which tiers on Thursday – giving people a week before the new rules come into force.

However, a brief look at the latest coronavirus data suggests some areas will face the highest restrictions.

For example, parts of northern England including areas like West Yorkshire, Hull and Scarborough are still seeing rising infection levels.

Hull’s infection rate is among the worst in the UK, at 702.1 per 100,000 population, and officials in the city are already expecting to find themselves in the top tier.

Julia Weldon, the director of public health for Hull City Council, said last week: “The levels we are at means we will definitely be in Tier 3 at the end of this lockdown.

“It’s really hard to say how long for but for a few weeks after that potentially.

“I hope then we will see rates plateau and then go down, we might be able to have lower restrictions at Christmas but everyone needs to play their part.”

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Stoke-on-Trent, too, could find itself in tier 3 – with a rate per 100,000 population of 532.8.

In Bolton, the rate is 412.8 while Blackburn with Darwen’s rate has reached 470.3.

Manchester, which previously refused to enter Tier 3 restrictions without additional cash form the Goverment, is seeing higher than average rates.

Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham said while infection rates were dropping, the Government should not “let everything loose”.

He told BBC Breakfast: “I would also say to the Government, don’t just go towards Christmas and let everything loose.

“What you need to do is keep a steady approach that will keep the numbers going in the way they are currently going in the North West and in Greater Manchester, and that will relieve the pressures on the NHS come January.”

Other areas with high rates include:

  • Stockton on Tees – 446.4
  • Staffordshire – 415.7
  • Salford – 400.3
  • Rochdale – 477.9
  • Redcar – 466.6
  • Oldham – 500.6
  • North Lincolnshire – 466.6
  • North East Lincolnshire – 481.3
  • Newcastle – 417.4
  • Middlesborough – 430.6
  • Leicester – 489.8
  • Kirklees – 526.4
  • Hartlepool – 550.9
  • East Riding – 402.1
  • Dudley – 537.6
  • Calderdale – 451.6
  • Bristol – 467.9
  • Bradford – 491.9

Dr Susan Hopkins, a Public Health England director, recently claimed the tiers would need strengthening to have any effect.

She claimed Tier 1 restrictions had “very little effect” on slowly the spread of the virus while Tier 2 varied across areas.

However, she conceded that Tier 3, especially “Tier 3 plus”, had reduced case numbers in some parts of the North West.

The Covid winter plan is expected to see more areas placed into this higher tier to keep the virus under control – and in turn help ensure further restrictions are not needed, No 10 said.

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